I posted some statistics on regular and quick rated events the other day. As I recall, less than half of the quick-rated events (about 1600 sections in calendar 2003, maybe 10% of the total number of sections rated) were quick-rated only, the rest were dual-rated.
I have my suspiciion that if the original intent of the Delegates (that all games in the G/30 to G/60 window be dual rated) was strictly followed, that the percentage of quick-only events would be much lower.
There are many factors that would enter into determining the cost of a separate blitz rating system.
First there’s the time needed for deciding what kind of system it should be. The regular and quick ratings systems are not identical, though they are very similar. Should a blitz system use the same formulas as one of those systems or some other set of formulas?
I’m sure the Ratings Committee would design such a system if requested to do so. I don’t know how long they would take to complete such a task.
A separate issue, one mentioned by another poster, has to do with which events would be rated under which system. I don’t know that this is exclusively a Ratings Committee decision. Similarly, what rules should apply to USCF-rated blitz events? What membership requirements would apply?
Then there’s the cost of changing the programming to accomodate a blitz system. This is (mostly) a one-time cost to change the forms to accept another rating system choice and to write and test a computational module that conforms to the standard developed by the Ratings Committee.
MSA would have to be changed to show blitz ratings, which means that several programs would need minor modifications.
As far as I can tell, SwisSys and WinTD can accomodate the USCF’s two rating systems, but would have to be updated to handle independent blitz ratings.
The ongoing administrative cost is another issue. How do blitz ratings get published? Do we have a separate supplement, a separate section in the supplement, no supplement (e.g., only available online), or do we add a third column to the existing supplement? What about the ratings supplement files?
Having blitz ratings would probably increase the number of events that get rated under the wrong system, thus it would increase the number of events that have to be fixed. The good news here is that the new programming is designed to make this a much more automated process than it has been in the past.
Having some idea of the one-time and ongoing costs of the system doesn’t really address the viability issue. Would this reduce the number of quick games being rated (already a small fraction of the number of regular-rated games). Would TD’s run many USCF-rated blitz events?
So I ask again: Walter Browne’s blitz ratings failed in the marketplace, what would lead us to believe that the USCF can succeed where he failed?