Not so much, it seems.
Carlsen took advantage of an ill-advised 21st move by Nakamura to roll to the win today. With the win, Carlsen goes to +7 in the tournament, good enough to sew up first place with a round to spare. His performance rating through 12 rounds is 2952. He also pushes his live rating to 2874.
For 2700-type players, gaining 15 points in 3 months is a serious accomplishment. Carlsen, the world’s highest rated player by a healthy margin, has gained 13 points in this event alone. Put another way, as of this writing, there is no one in the world rated within 60 points of Carlsen - and only five players rated within 100 points.
Anand was able to beat L’Ami today and move back into a tie for second with Aronian, who got absolutely nowhere as white against Giri. Anand has gained about 13 points from this event as well.
A few other notes in the “A” group: Sokolov continued his blunderfest today, simply walking into a winning continuation for his opponent, Hou. He’s at a shocking -7 for this event, and has yet to win a game. Meanwhile, Hou is at a very creditable -2, performing about 80 points above her rating. If this is any indication, Anna Ushenina is on borrowed time as women’s world champion.
Harikrishna continues to acquit himself well in his “A” group debut, drawing Wang to keep a level score. His live rating has gone over 2700. Caruana’s rating is in free fall - after losing to van Wely today, he’s lost 25 points in Wijk aan Zee.
In the “B” group, 17-year-old sensation Richard Rapport is co-leader with GM Sergei Movsesian. The winner of the “B” group is invited to the following year’s “A” group. Dutch legend Jan Timman was among the leaders for a while, but has lost his last few games to fall back into the pack.
In the “C” group, GMs Fernando Peralta and Sabino Brunello are +8, 2.5 points clear of their nearest competition. Unfortunately, they’ve already played one another.