Women are holding their own so far. This is a really important match for their medal hopes. Their tie breaks are bad and they need a match win.
Open team - Shankland has already won on board 4. Nakamura in trouble on 2. So winning on 3. Match win keeps the gold in play and pretty much guarantees a medal.
So has won - Open team up 2-0
Nakamura lost so Open team is up 2-1. Caruana needs at least draw which seems likely he can do that
Caruana draw
US wins match 2.5-1.5
Looks like Russia is going to lose to India or at best draw the match.
Nemcova is winning
Open team took take of business. They will go into round 11 no worse than tied for first with Ukraine and perhaps clear first and having already played all of the top teams.
Nemcova has won
Chess 24 reporting Zatonskih as a draw
That would put the women up 1.5-.5 is a match they need to win to have a decent chance to medal due to their tie breaks.
Foisor draws women up 2-1 over Mongolia with Krush still playing. A draw on board 1 is necessary for a match win to keep the team in medal contention. A win is better for tie breaks as the team could end up tying for a medal place and lose it on tie breaks.
Women
China is probably going to beat Poland which will seal their gold medal.
Second place going into round 11 will be US and Russia with 16 MP. I think the Russians will be paired up against the Chinese while the US will be paired against one of the teams with 15. those appear to be Poland, Ukraine, India. US has already played Ukraine. But I have not really looked at the pairings that closely so I may well be off.
Still it appears that the US women may well have their medal fate in their own hands.
What a great event for the women’s team. I hope US Chess gets to pay medal bonuses to both teams. Wouldn’t that be something!?!
oh wow Krush lost. That changes things. US Women draw to go to 15 points.
China 18
Russia 16
Poland, US, Ukraine, India, Bulgaria all at 15 and Hungary may join the group.
US tie breaks are not good so they will have to win and get help. It may not be possible.
The draw against Mongolia was not a particularly bad result for the women given that Mongolia was ranked 8 with the US ranked 6 and ratings reasonably comparable, but oh what might have been!
That rest day will be important to regroup a bit I think. Hang in there team!!!
So what are final round open pairings?
US-Canada? (edit: or highest-rated England?)
Ukraine-England/Slovenia/or…?
I don’t have time to figure it out just yet, but US and Ukraine tie for first with Russia 2 points behind. All three have been paired against one another.
Of the 15 point teams (Canada, India, Norway, Slovenia, England, Peru and Italy) the US have already played Norway and India, Canada has already played Ukraine, India has played all three of the higher teams and England, Norway has played the US, Peru a=while Italy has played no one.
I think I have the 15 point teams listed in order they ought to be paired but I am not certain - I haven’t looked at it that closely yet.
Olympiad review on lunch break…
Krush blundered on move 49. I’m pretty sure she simply forgot that 50 Rxd6+ was available. (I thought 49 … Ra3+ was still quite enough to draw, with Black’s active rook and good king position.)
Unless a whole bunch of planets, stars and tarot cards align, it appears the women’s team will not be able to medal. It’s unfortunate, but there’s still a lot to play for in round 11, and the US gets its board 2 back as well, so they should be ready to roll.
As for the USA open team, Georgia proved a tough out. Caruana confronted the Jobava steamroller on board 1, and was able to hold against the player arguably on the hottest of streaks in this tournament. Unfortunately, Nakamura lost his way - and the game - as White in a slugfest against the far-outrated Mchedlishvili. Fortunately, So and Shankland already had their games well in hand, and both eventually converted their full points.
The US needed the match win to maintain its position, because Ukraine beat Czechoslovakia 3-1. The US still holds a good S-B tiebreak lead going into the last round, but the possibility exists that even a minimum win might not be enough to secure the gold medal outright.
Non-US note of the day: in the open section, there are two undefeated teams after 10 rounds. One is USA, of course. The other is…Greece! They needed some hellacious (Hellenic?) magic to not lose today, and they got it.
Speculation while waiting for Hasanov & Co. to push the button for the round 11 pairings…
In the open section, USA-CAN would be my guess (if not them, then England, who is actually the highest seeded of the 15-point group). That’s a rather tricky match in either case. But gold medals ain’t s’posed ta be easy, ya know? No clue who Ukraine gets out of that chase pack.
In the women’s section, China will be looking to cruise on table 1 against Russia. While Russia would certainly love to derail the Chinese Express, they have to be careful - there’s a six-pack of teams just 1 MP behind them, and if they lose to the big boss, they probably get the Willy Wonka treatment, while drawing the Chinese is probably good for silver medals no matter what happens behind them.
Were I forced to speculate, the US is looking at a last round against India. No matter who they play, they probably need a rout and a few miracles to medal, because their S-B tiebreak is just so far behind the other teams they need to pass. The aforementioned Russian loss to China would be an excellent example of such a miracle. Of course, though, they’ve played a great event, regardless of medals.
(NOTE: I’m just doing eyeball projections on the pairings. I may be missing something that makes my projections ridiculous. Okay…back to work!)
Assuming USA-CAN & assuming USA gets White on Board 1, Black against Hansen on board 4 is not an easy pairing.
I’ve always felt that every pairing can be an easy pairing. It’s only when you are looking to draw or win that pairings might get difficult. 
It will be US vs. Canada in the last round. We should be nice to the Canadian team. If Trump wins in November, they may be able to sponsor many of us up there as landed immigrants before they build their wall to keep us oot.
Open
US 18 - Canada 15
Ukraine 18 - Slovenia 15
Russia 17 - Italy 15
India 15 - Norway 15
Peru 15 - England 15
Women
China 18 - Russia 16
Hungary 15 - Poland 15
Ukraine 15 - Bulgaria 15
US 15 - India 15
Actually, Shankland’s performance rating (2742) is superior to Hansen’s (2696). Still, Hansen is tough.
How would you like to be Laseige (4-2-1, 2610 performance rating) and playing black against So (6-0-3, 2883 performance rating)?
The big question is can Naka bounce back against Kovalyev, whose performance rating is 2865? (based on 6-0-3)
You’d think Caruana would have a decent shot on first board as well, as Bareev is having a fairly pedestrian tournament.
I’ll go with wins on 1 and 3 for the US and draws on 2 and 4 for 3-1 . . . but this round is not a gimme.
Someone posted that if USA and Ukraine remain tied for first after last round then Ukraine may win on tiebreaks. Given that USA won the individual match against Ukraine is such a thing possible? Do board points take priority over head to head and if so does anyone know board point scores?