Knowing that in Las Vegas and the UK, you can bet on just about anything, does anyone know what the current odds are for the Carlsen-Caruana match in November?
Found some, but I don’t think the odds reflect betting after Caruana’s tournament win yesterday.
nicerodds.co.uk/chess
Caruana puts his chances at 50/50
Even so, Carlsen won their individual game, so as far as influencing the odds I think Norway is a push. Caruana’s ability to win more games against the others won’t help in a match.
I remember a tournament years ago where the player (I think it was Larsen) won because he did a better job at “rabbit-bashing”, as the article called it. Don’t think there were any rabbits in Norway, though!
Past history aside, I think Caruana’s game is peaking and I concur with his 50/50 prognostication in games played at the Classical time control. However, Carlsen’s incredible versatility at the faster time limits give him a distinct edge in any tie-break, which, in essence give him “draw-odds” in the match. It will be interesting to see how Fabi performs in the Rapid/Blitz Grand Chess Tour events this month.
Also… Any word if Caruana will be playing in the Sinquefield Cup, or will he scale back his play to prepare for the WCh match? I assume that both Fabi and Magnus will play in the Batumi Olympiad.