Got up early to look at the games. We appear to be struggling in each match, and 3 of our 4 boards in both matches are well behind on the clock. This has been the pattern throughout. Our players get into time trouble way too much. Krush is the exception. Is time trouble a uniquely American problem for some reason, or have our teams been over-coached to the point that the players have too much to think about? I don’t get it.
Nakamura, 3 minutes left after 30 moves. Kamsky has 7 left after 24. Onischuk has 9 minutes left after 28. Robson has made 20 moves, down to 4 minutes. According to the clock times at the official site, which sometimes go crazy.
Couple of ways to win it - it looks like Robson is going to use his king to win the advanced black pawn and convert the R and pawn endgame. He may have also been able to use his king to support the less advanced a-pawn and use his rook to win the black pawn. Either way, it should end up a technically won endgame.
A third way - Robson will play Rg8 next, then after black takes the h-pawn, he’ll check the black king and then get his rook behind the passed pawn. Another easy win for white.
Yet another way - now the white king can advance because the pawn on h6 takes away black’s check on the g-file. King advances and it’s all over. Black could probably resign now. . . but Robson’s king goes back - ok, now I don’t understand.
OK, looks like we are back on track with the plan to use the king to hold the second h-pawn and then go round up the c-pawn with the rook - again, a technical win.
Easy win now, Kg6, Re6+ Kf7 followed by Kg7 and the pawn queens.
72.Kg5 and the next sound you will hear will be the black king being tipped over.
So:
Nakamura finishes with 4 wins with white, 1 draw with white, 3 draws with black, 1 loss with black (4-1-4=67%)
Kamsky (only one playing every round) finishes with 2 wins with white, 2 draws with white, 5 wins with black, 1 draw with black, 1 loss with black (7-1-3=77%)
Onishuk finishes with 3 wins with white, 3 draws with white, 1 win with black, 2 draws with black, 1 loss with black (4-1-5=65%)
Akobian finishes with 3 draws with white, 1 win with black, 2 draws with black (1-0-5=58%)
Robson goes into the final round with 2 wins with white, 1 draw with white, 1 win with black, 2 draws with black, 1 loss with black, and having white in the final game (3-1-3 w/one to go=64% going in)
The team has 11 wins with white, 10 draws with white, one game with white still going, 8 wins with black, 10 draws with black, 4 losses with black (19-4-20 w/one to go). As a team USA scored 59% with black and it sounds like at least 75% (maybe 77%) with white after Robson’s game is finished.
Looks like Russia deserves congratulations for winning the Olympiad. (Can’t see Armenia getting 1.5 out of the last 2 games in their match.)
Ukraine did well in their match too, handling a hot, hot Chinese team. Probably especially sweet for Eljanov, to redeem himself in a decisive last round win after his disaster in 2008.
Robson looks like he’s going to win…probalby the first of many great Olympiad last rounds for that young man. A strong round for Kamsky, too.
As for Nakamura, it was a tough end to an excellent individual Olympiad. On a personal level, I wish he hadn’t sent out that tweet after round 10 - some feelings are better communicated in private, or left unsaid.
The numbers are what they are - our combined FIDE rating of team numbers 4/5 is below that of the other teams we are/were competing with for medals. I would characterize that as ‘lack of depth’ regardless of the results of any one game.